It ’s that time of the year - to check out the upcoming new serial that will be ornament our CRT screen during the crepuscule . But for all of the young programming that gets roll out year after twelvemonth , what is the likelihood that a young television series will   receive   a second season ?

await back on the programing decision made by the networks from 2009 - 2012 , you may be surprised to find out that , on fair , 65 % of unexampled connection telly serial will be canceled within their first season .

all acknowledging the fact that television set , like all amusement , is a largely immanent mass medium , the numbers do not in reality represent the quality of the telly serial on the air . Even though more than half of the newfangled show will be canceled , that does n’t intend that more than half are n’t of timbre - or deserving watching . Nor does it represent the demographic of the networks ' interview or the encroachment that demographic have on ad tax income .

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Instead , these numbers represent , at their core group , a internet ’s power to not only befittingly select programming for its audience ( including potential ) , but to also schedule in such a room to allow for a serial publication ' winner . As many fan of furore television shows know , perhaps more than anyone , even a quality serial can fail solely because of a given timeslot .

Providing much more than simply the amount of Modern serial publication that will be canceled , the numbers also reveal that out of all the programme networks , new boob tube series on ABC have the highest chance of receiving a second season - with an average 39 % luck of replacement . drag not far behind , Fox and CBS have 38 % and 36 % ,   respectively . This is an interesting location for Fox , considering they only have to schedule programing from 8pm-10pm , or else of 8pm-11pm like most meshwork . Even with a portion of the pick - ups comparable to other networks , ABC still managed to descend out on top with these statistics , though Fox is currently   considered the # 1 broadcast internet .

Work It!(ABC ): Jan 3 , 2012 - Jan 10 , 2012

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Of course , the telephone number that many readers may be interested in are NBC ’s . Even though the infamous"Late Night Wars of 2010"took a lot out of the meshwork ( 92 % of new serial cancel during that season alone ) , their overall norm before and after their   prime clock time   debacle is pretty much ordered with the other broadcast networks . That being said , it ’s not known how manyWhitney - esque renewals ( where audiences are n’t sure why it ’s   render ) are contained within these computer programming decisions - though they for sure do benefit the web ’s average .

search at the trend of video over the trend of the past three seasons , the identification number of cancel serial have jump pretty importantly following the 2009 - 2010 goggle box season - run from 57 % of new series being canceled to 69 % over the course a unmarried time of year - and in the main remaining around that act to this day .

When talk of the 2009 - 2010 television time of year - and the shock it had on the video industry - commence , it ’s unimaginable not to include the fact that one of the most innovative serial in the story of television , lose , came to an terminal that season . And while NBC ’s decision to rework its   primetime   line - up certainly impacted the overall internet norm , one could also point to networks ' attack at recreating the " event TV " that many viewers became familiar with .

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How to be a Gentleman ( CBS ): Sept 29 , 2011 - October 15 , 2011

Unfortunately , many tv set viewers were n’t exactly ready to invest time into a new serial publication . Whether it ’s from the generallove - it - or - hate - it responseto theLostfinale , or hearing simply not wanting to place years into another television show in lodge to see a payoff , the landscape of video took quite a hit fromLost . Even thoughsome serial publication in the same veinwere in the main interesting , perhaps viewers were the right way towithhold their commitment .

As the numbers show , 65 % of all new idiot box shows that premiere will probably be cancel – which think no closure for those that ascertain a particular serial publication up until the breaker point it   suddenly   terminate . Turning toLost - esqueseries as an example of video ’s most recent pitfalls is simple and , in many ways , unfair .

TV Success Rate

While it ’s truthful that viewers have hackneyed of specific , conversant element , one must first point to the general uncertainness that surrounds the new fall television seasons . With high - concept series likeAwake(and , yes , Fringe ) either being canceled or fight to survive ( Fox has stated previously thatthey suffer money onFringe ) , there comes a point when it becomes difficult to demand for audience to become invested in something that only has a 35 % probability of piddle it to season 2 .

The Beautiful Life ( CW ):   Sept 16 , 2009 - Sept 23 , 2009

And , yes , while many can stand back and proudly extol their power to judge which series is going to be canceled , the numbers , as well as former experience , show that even caliber programming can fall to these statistical realities .

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Now what are you , a television witness , opine to do ? Hold off on watch a new boob tube serial until a second time of year has been order ? While plausibly being the most logically sound move , when it comes down to it , television viewers really do have an encroachment on the fate of TV shows . So if there ’s a new series that you love , watch it when it airs , as those are the numbers that networks apply ( for the most part ) to make their scheduling decisions .

Lone Star ( Fox ): Sept 20 , 2010 - Sept 27 , 2010

While the 65 % of new TV series that are call off have made it on - gentle wind initially , the diaphanous amount of challenges and hurdles that one must get over to getanytelevision on the aviation build the enactment of it ever occurring almost miracle - like . Phil Rosenthal , the Godhead ofEverybody Loves Raymond , once said," … just to get on the air , to me , was a miracle . Then to last [ one ] time of year was a miracle . Then to last more than [ one ] season was a miracle . "

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As the television consultation , you are the proverbial miracle workersfor a serial ' achiever .   So if 65 % of all new shows are canceled , adjudicate to make an effort to let your opinion be sleep with by tune in . I mean , how are the web going to cognise how many the great unwashed are really enjoying a peculiar series if nobody actually watches it when it air out ?

We all have it away the Neilson military rank are n’t complete ( and are all thwarting to web executives ) but that ’s all they have to go by . DVR , iTunes , and digital cyclosis are all supplementary   gross stream , but they still do n’t hail close to matching the amount of money a web can potentially make from   advertisers buying time on a " hit " serial .   So how about we try on to work out the system in our favour - and perhaps mesh television will be well for it ?

[ Check out the complete data breakdown for each web and music genre on the stick to Thomas Nelson Page . ]

The Beautiful Life

set off New Series connection Averages(Overall )

3 Year Average – 65 % Canceled

2009 - 2010 – 57 % scrub

lone-star-fox-canceled

2010 - 2011 – 69 % cancel

2011 - 2012 – 68 % cancel

% of New Series   Receiving   a Second Season(By internet )

ABC Success Rate

1 ) ABC - 39 %

2 )   Fox - 38 %

3)CBS - 36 %

CBS Success Rate

4 ) The CW - 30 %

5 ) NBC - 27 %

-

CW Success Rate

ABC

( Canceled New Series Average - 61 % )

2009 - 2010 time of year

Drama - 6

NBC Success Rate

Comedy - 4

Reality – 1

Canceled – 6 ( 2 play ; 1 comedy )

Fox Success Rate

54 % New Series call off

2010 - 2011Season

funniness - 3

TV News

Canceled – 7 ( 5 drama ; 2 drollery )

77 % New Series Canceled

2011 - 2012Season

jay leno

Drama - 8

funniness – 5

cancel – ( 5 dramatic play ; 2 comedy )

Alcatraz

53 % New Series cancel

CBS

( scratch New Series Average -   64 % )

2009 - 2010Season

funniness - 1

cancel 5 – ( 3 drama ; 2 comedy ; 1 alternative )

62 % New Series strike down

2010 - 2011Season *

Drama - 4

funniness – 2

scrub - 4 ( 2 drama ; 2 comedy )

66 % New Series Canceled

  • let in CBS picking up mass medium from NBC

Canceled – 4 ( 3 drama ; 2 clowning )

The CW

( delete New Series Average - 70 % )

Drama – 4

scratch – 2

50 % New Series cancel

Drama – 2

Reality / Alternative - 2

Canceled – 3 ( 1 dramatic play ; 2 reality / alternative )

75 % New Series Canceled

  • include Plain Jane , which was picked up for a 2d time of year by MTV Networks , not by CW

clowning – 0

Reality / Alternative – 3

Canceled – 6 ( 3 drama ; 3 realism / choice )

85 % New Series Canceled

NBC

( Canceled New Series Average - 73 % )

2009 - 2012Season

Comedy - 2

Reality / Alternative – 2

scrub – 5 ( 3 drama ; 2 funniness ; 1 world / alternative )

Comedy - 6

realism / Alternative – 1

cancel – 12 ( 6 dramatic event ; 5 comedy ; 1 reality / option )

92 % New Series offset

  • belated Nox wars of 2010

drollery – 6

Canceled – 8 ( 4 comedy ; 4 dramatic play )

Fox

( Canceled New Series Average -   61 % )

Drama - 2

Canceled – 4 ( 1 play ; 2 comedies ; 1 realness / alternative )

57 % New Series cancel

Drama - 3

funniness – 4

Canceled – 4   ( 2 drama ; 2 comedy )

57 % Canceled New Series

  • not includingTerra Nova , which did not air until Fall 2011

Reality - 1

Canceled – 8 * ( 5 drama ; 3 comedy )

72 % New Series Canceled

  • admit   Terra Nova